3 straight NHL POTDs and another no sweat 2nd period cash ✅ #sportsbetting #sportsbettingtips

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Another POTD ✅. Check out story for daily POTDs. #sportsbetting #sportsbettingadvice

Write up: This line has gotten a bit too inflated based on Xavier’s recent success. They’ve won 7 of 8 but some of those games were against the dregs of the Big East. Texas cut its teeth in the toughest conference in the nation and has played the tougher strength of schedule. They went 7-10 in Quad 1 games while the Musketeers only had 1 Quad 1 win all season. Xavier has an explosive offense and the better coach, but I think the Longhorns are just as capable on the offensive end and can keep up if it devolves into a shootout. They have a future NBA lottery pick in Tre Johnson who is averaging almost 20ppg as a freshman, and good 3-point shooters in Arthur Kaluma and Jordan Pope. These teams profile very similarly and, unsurprisingly, I have this game at a pure pick ‘em. So, I’ll take the points with the Longhorns here. One trend: Since 2021, underdogs of 3 pts or less on a neutral court in March after a loss, whose opponents are also coming off of a loss, are 24-20 SU and 26-18 ATS. That improves to 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS when the total is greater than 150.

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POTD: This is a good spot to back the under here despite the low total. Magic are a great team in general for the under, as they play at the slowest pace in the league while possessing the 3rd worst offense by offensive efficiency. They have an elite defense and face another elite defense in the Rockets. In fact, these are the #2 and #3 defenses in the league. The game profiles well for an under. Some trends: Magic are 39-26 to the Under this season, averaging 210 points in those games. Magic are coming off of a win in the previous game. They are 20-9 to the Under after a win this season, averaging 207 points in those games. Magic are 20-11 to the Under this season when the total closes below 213, averaging 206 points. 10-4 when on the Road, with those games averaging 205 points. Rockets won their last game by 29. Since 2020, they’re 10-0 to the Under after winning the previous games by more than 28 points. Those games averaged 204 points. The two games this season averaged 202 points.

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